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World Bank raises Nigeria’s growth forecast to 1.8% in 2021



World Bank

The World Bank on Tuesday, June 8, raised Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product’s growth forecast to 1.8 per cent this year, 2021, and edging up to 2.1 percent in 2022.

This was contained in the bank’s latest report on Global Economic Prospects, titled, “Global Recovery Strong but Uneven as Many Developing Countries Struggle with the Pandemic’s Lasting Effects.”

Recall that the Bretton Wood institution had projected a 1.1 percent growth rate for the country in 2021 after the COVID-19-induced sharp recession in 2020.

The bank explained that the new projection for Nigeria is on the assumption that oil prices will continue to rise, a gradual implementation of structural reforms in the oil sector, and a market-based flexible exchange rate management.

“The expected pickup is also predicated on continued vaccinations in the second half of this year and a gradual relaxation of COVID-related restrictions that will allow activity to improve.

“Nonetheless, output in Nigeria is not expected to return to its 2019 level until end-2022,” the report read.

Globally, the international organisation forecasted a 5.6 percent in 2021 — fastest post-recession pace in 80 years — mainly on strong rebounds from a few major economies.

In Sub-Saharan Africa, economic activity, according to it, is projected to rise by 2.8 percent in 2021 and 3.3 percent in 2022 as countries continue to struggle with the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath.

Commenting on the global economic forecast, World Bank Group president, said: “While there are welcome signs of global recovery, the pandemic continues to inflict poverty and inequality on people in developing countries around the world,” David Malpass.

“Globally coordinated efforts are essential to accelerate vaccine distribution and debt relief, particularly for low-income countries.

“As the health crisis eases, policymakers will need to address the pandemic’s lasting effects and take steps to spur green, resilient, and inclusive growth while safeguarding macroeconomic stability.”


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