Nigeria has cancelled $717.7 million in undisbursed World Bank loan meant for the power sector, ending a recovery programme that was designed to stabilise the country’s troubled electricity industry.
Documents obtained from the World Bank show the cancellation followed a formal request from the Federal Government.
Both parties agreed to discontinue the remaining financing under the Power Sector Recovery Performance-Based Operation after key reform targets failed to materialise.
The decision also brings the programme to an earlier close. Its end date was moved from June 30, 2027, to May 31, 2026.
According to the restructuring document, “The restructuring will result in the cancellation of the entire undisbursed balance in the amount of $717.7 million equivalent, and no further disbursements will be made under the Program following approval of this restructuring.”
The programme was introduced in 2020 as part of efforts to restore financial stability in Nigeria’s electricity sector, improve power supply and reduce the industry’s dependence on government support.
At the start, the World Bank approved about $752.5 million for the initiative. Three years later, after early reforms showed some progress, the bank approved an additional financing package of roughly $763.5 million to extend the programme and deepen reforms across the sector.
Together, both facilities were worth around $1.52 billion.
Still, the additional financing package struggled almost from the beginning.
The World Bank said the fall of the naira after the foreign exchange market liberalisation in June 2023 significantly raised electricity generation costs because gas prices are tied to the US dollar.
More than 70% of electricity supplied into Nigeria’s national grid comes from gas-fired plants.
At the same time, electricity tariffs were largely unchanged for most consumers. Only Band A customers saw tariff adjustments in April 2024.
That gap between high production costs and revenues collected from consumers widened rapidly.
According to the World Bank, tariff shortfalls climbed from N140 billion in 2022 to about N1.9 trillion annually in both 2024 and 2025.
The bank said the growing deficits placed heavy pressure on government finances and weakened the reform programme.
“Due to the mismatch between the electricity generation costs and the sector tariff revenues, the tariff shortfalls increased sharply in the last 3 years, moving from a low of N140bn in 2022 to a high of N1.9tn per year in 2024 and 2025, putting serious pressure on the limited Federal Government of Nigeria’s fiscal space,” the report stated.
The World Bank also pointed to deeper structural problems in the electricity sector, including weak performance by distribution companies, transmission bottlenecks, underused generation capacity, poor cost recovery, and high technical and commercial losses.
Those problems slowed implementation and made it difficult for Nigeria to meet conditions tied to further disbursements.
The bank said authorities failed to establish a credible financing framework capable of reducing tariff deficits over time.
“Recent financing plans have not fully identified sufficient sources of funding to cover tariff shortfalls, nor established a credible trajectory for their reduction,” the report stated.
Even so, the original phase of the programme achieved some measurable results before conditions worsened.
The World Bank said tariff shortfalls dropped by 71% between 2019 and 2022, falling from N581 billion to N166 billion.
Regulatory cost recovery improved from 56% to 94% during the same period, while electricity supplied to distribution companies increased by 13% between 2018 and 2021.
These encouraged the bank to approve additional financing in 2023.
However, implementation later stalled. The World Bank said none of the global indicators tied to the additional financing arrangement were achieved.
It also downgraded implementation progress under the programme to “Moderately Unsatisfactory.”
Financial records in the restructuring document show that only about 9% of the additional financing package was eventually disbursed.
Out of the programme’s total commitment of roughly $1.52 billion, around $796 million had been released before the cancellation, leaving $717.7 million undrawn.
The World Bank concluded that the programme’s structure no longer matched realities in Nigeria’s power sector.
“Taken together, these developments point to a misalignment between the design of the operation and the evolving implementation context,” the report stated.
The cancellation comes days after the Accountant-General of the Federation, Dr Shamseldeen Ogunjimi, warned that Nigeria could reconsider future World Bank loan arrangements if approval and disbursement delays continue.
Speaking during a meeting with a World Bank delegation in Abuja, Ogunjimi said Nigeria should not face long delays in accessing funds tied to development projects because the facilities are loans, not grants.
He said, “If approvals take more than six months, the Nigerian Government may no longer honour such arrangements.”
Ogunjimi also urged the World Bank to speed up approvals and disbursements to support Nigeria’s development priorities.
