African Airlines Record 3.3% YoY Rise in Passenger Demand in Mar ’25

Key highlights

During March 2025, African airlines saw

a 3.3% year-on-year increase in demand – on par with the global picture.
A 3.5% y-o-y expansion of capacity (whereas the global market saw a greater, 5.3% capacity increase)
Load factors falling by -0.2 percentage points y-o-y to a 70.1% passenger load factor, i.e. less than three quarters of available seats were taken up by the market. (this was lower than the 80.7% global average load factor).

“Passenger demand grew by 3.3% year-on-year in March, a slight strengthening from the 2.7% growth reported for February. A capacity expansion of 5.3%, however, outpaced the demand expansion leading to a load factor decline from record highs to 80.7% systemwide.

There remains a lot of speculation around the potential impacts of tariffs and other economic headwinds on travel.

While the small decline in demand in North America needs to be watched carefully, March numbers continued to show a global pattern of growth for air travel.

That means the challenges associated with accommodating more people who need to travel—specifically alleviating supply chain problems and ensuring sufficient airport and air traffic management capacity—remain urgent,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s director general.

African Airlines - March 2025 — Source: IATA

Regional Breakdown – International Passenger Markets

International RPK growth slowed to 4.9% in March year-on-year from the 5.9% reported for February and from the 12.5% reported in January.

This slowdown since January reflects in large part the final normalization of year-on-year demand comparisons post-COVID. Asia-Pacific was the strongest performer among regions with 9.9% growth.

Load factors fell in every region, for a -1.7 ppt overall decline.

Asia-Pacific airlines reported a 9.9% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity increased 11.6% year-on-year, and the load factor was 84.1% (-1.3 ppt compared to March 2024).

European carriers had a 4.9% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity increased 6.9% year-on-year, and the load factor was 78.2% (-1.5 ppt compared to March 2024).

Middle Eastern carriers saw a -1.0% year-on-year decline in demand. Capacity increased 2.8% year-on-year, and the load factor was 74.6% (-2.9 ppt compared to March 2024).

The decline in demand is likely related to the timing of Ramadan which impacts travel patterns.

North American carriers saw a -0.1% year-on-year fall in demand. Capacity increased 2.0% year-on-year, and the load factor was 83.0% (-1.8 ppt compared to March 2024). While demand had a second consecutive month of year-on-year contraction, it is important to note that this is an improvement on the -1.5% decline airlines saw a 7.7% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity climbed 12.1% year-on-year. The load factor was 80.9% (-3.3 ppt compared to March 2024).

African airlines airlines saw a 3.3% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity was up 3.5% year-on-year. The load factor was 70.1% (-0.2 ppt compared to March 2024)

Domestic Passenger Markets

Domestic air travel posted a marginal 0.9% gain, weighed down by declines in the US and Australian markets. Brazil and India reported the strongest growth at 8.9% and 11.0% respectively. Meanwhile, Australia (-1.2%) and the US (-1.7%) reported declines.

The load factor fell -1.3 ppt as domestic capacity expanded 2.5%.