The guidelines, issued in March 2026, formally recognise artificial intelligence and machine learning as tools banks and payment companies can use to monitor suspicious transactions.

They also require financial institutions to deploy automated anti-money laundering systems capable of detecting unusual activity and reporting it to regulators.

Under the directive, banks, mobile money operators, international money transfer operators and other regulated financial institutions must implement systems that support customer risk profiling, sanctions screening, transaction monitoring and case management.

“As financial services become increasingly digitised and complex, manual AML/CFT/CPF controls are no longer sufficient to manage evolving risks,” the central bank said in the framework.

For years, many compliance processes in Nigeria’s financial sector relied heavily on manual reviews and rule-based systems. The new standards shift the focus toward technology-driven monitoring.

Banks will now be expected to deploy automated platforms that can track customer behaviour, flag unusual transaction patterns and support real-time reporting of suspicious activity to regulators, including the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit.

These systems must integrate with core banking platforms and customer onboarding systems so institutions can analyse transactions in the context of a customer’s profile rather than isolated payment data.

The framework also encourages the use of tools such as anomaly detection, behavioural pattern recognition and automated risk scoring. Systems should be capable of identifying name variations during sanctions checks and screening customers against politically exposed persons lists.

However, the central bank insists technology cannot operate without oversight. Financial institutions that deploy machine-learning models must validate those systems regularly and ensure investigators can understand why alerts were triggered.

Real-time fraud monitoring becomes a requirement

The new standards don’t just focus on money laundering, as banks must also deploy automated fraud monitoring tools that track transactions across cards, electronic channels, deposits and lending platforms.

The systems are expected to operate in real time or near real time so institutions can stop suspicious transactions before funds leave an account.

Fraud monitoring tools may operate on the same platform as anti-money laundering systems, but the regulator requires institutions to maintain separate management and governance structures for each function.

Data from the Financial Institutions Training Centre shows fraud losses climbed to ₦3.29 billion in the first quarter of 2025, representing a 603% increase year-on-year, with 12,347 cases reported across the banking sector.

Regulators say the growing use of digital payment platforms, instant transfers and online banking has created new opportunities for organised financial crime.

Aligning Nigeria with global compliance trends

Nigeria’s new regulations also place the country within a bigger global shift toward technology-based compliance.

Industry estimates suggest that about 90 per cent of financial institutions worldwide will use artificial intelligence or machine learning in anti-money laundering programmes by 2026, up from roughly 62% in 2024.

Regulators in other jurisdictions are already seeing similar adoption. Data from the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority shows about 75% of financial firms already use AI in compliance operations, with another 10% planning deployment within three years.

These technologies can reduce false alerts by as much as 40%, allowing compliance teams to focus on genuinely suspicious transactions rather than reviewing thousands of routine alerts.

The regulatory technology market is also expanding. Analysts estimate the global RegTech market could reach $19.5 billion by 2026, driven largely by demand for AI-powered compliance systems.

Implementation timeline for banks and fintechs

The central bank has given financial institutions a phased timeline to implement the new framework.

Banks classified as deposit money institutions must fully comply within 18 months, while other financial institutions have up to 24 months to deploy compliant systems.

Each institution must also submit a detailed implementation roadmap to the regulator within three months of the circular’s issuance.

Supervisory teams will monitor compliance through inspections and regulatory reviews. Institutions that fail to meet the requirements risk sanctions under existing banking regulations.

Part of a clean-up of Nigeria’s financial system

The new CBN AI anti-money laundering (AML) standards follow several regulatory movements aimed at strengthening financial oversight in Nigeria.

In recent years, the central bank strengthened customer verification regulations, requiring new account holders to provide a Bank Verification Number or National Identification Number. Authorities also introduced stronger reporting requirements for fraudulent transactions and refund investigations.

These reforms were important in Nigeria’s removal from the grey list of the Financial Action Task Force in 2025, after the country improved transparency in its financial system.

Regulators are now pushing banks and fintech companies toward a more integrated financial crime monitoring system where fraud detection and anti-money laundering management share data and analytics.

Officials say the goal is to detect suspicious activity faster and close the gaps criminals use to move money through the financial system.

This expansion shows a dynamic mix of regulatory changes, private‑sector innovation, expanding connectivity and dynamic digital policy frameworks at home and abroad. 

Internet connectivity and digital adoption have also grown, but not uniformly. In late 2025, Nigeria had 109 million internet users, equal to about 45.5% of the population, while nearly 130 million people were offline, mostly in underserved regions. 

This means Nigeria’s digital economy is large, burgeoning and indispensable to national growth, but still finding it difficult with structural gaps in connectivity, regulation and inclusion.

Hence, let’s examine the policies in Nigeria impacting this growth, as well as the global digital economy policies and standards that are influencing Nigeria’s digital growth and sustainability in 2026.

Nigeria’s Core Digital Economy Policies

The digital sector in the country is anchored in a suite of policy frameworks and proposed laws that have matured through 2025 and into 2026.

1. National Digital Economy Policy and Strategy 2020–2030

At the centre of Nigeria’s digital policy architecture is the National Digital Economy Policy and Strategy (NDEPS) 2020–2030. 

This blueprint identifies key pillars including infrastructure, digital literacy, service platforms, regulation, innovation ecosystems and more, and sets targets for digital integration across sectors.

It is the umbrella under which most other digital reforms sit, including broadband expansion, digital public infrastructure (DPI), skills development and data governance. 

Agencies across government are now aligning their implementation plans to NDEPS goals, making it the principal reference point for regulators and investors alike.

The strategy is the primary driver of Nigeria’s digital policy priorities to 2030.

2. The National Digital Economy and E‑Governance Bill

One of the most consequential legal instruments in 2026 is the National Digital Economy and E‑Governance Bill. 

Passed by the National Assembly and awaiting final assent early this year, the law will be a foundational statute for digital regulation.

Under its provisions:

• Government digital services must meet statutory standards for reliability and interoperability.
• Regulators are empowered to oversee algorithms, digital platforms, data governance and digital identity systems.
• Risk assessments and compliance obligations will be required for digital systems used in public administration and critical services.

The Bill will effectively give regulators expanded powers over digital governance structures, closing gaps in statutory oversight. 

3. Data Protection Framework

Since the 2023 Nigeria Data Protection Act (NDPA), enforcement has enhanced, with the Nigeria Data Protection Commission issuing guidelines and compliance timelines.

By 2026, the NDPA’s enforcement mechanisms are expected to be fully operational, imposing clear requirements on data controllers and processors, especially for personal and cross‑border data, a critical area for fintech, e‑commerce, healthtech and digital services.

This legislation is compulsory. Firms handling personal data now face defined regulatory obligations, with penalties for non‑compliance adequately enforced.

4. Cybersecurity Policy and Strategy

Nigeria’s National Cybersecurity Policy and Strategy (NCPS), updated in recent years, aims to strengthen national resilience against cyber threats. It emphasises:

• Protection for critical infrastructure
• Incident reporting systems
• Collaboration between public and private sectors
• A risk‑based compliance model

Although there are still gaps in enforcement capacity and coherence across agencies, the NCPS anchored the cybersecurity environment for digital commerce, government platforms and national infrastructure.

Recent studies show that Nigeria still faces enduring challenges in resource coordination and legislative clarity, suggesting further improvements will be needed beyond 2026. 

5. Broadband and Connectivity Policies

Connectivity underpins every aspect of the digital economy. Nigeria’s National Broadband Alliance and successor initiatives aim to achieve broadband access targets set under the National Broadband Plan. 

But then, as of mid‑2025:

• Broadband penetration stood at about 48.8%, short of the original 70% target. 
• Rural areas were still notably underserved, enlarging the rural-urban digital divide.

Policy reforms in 2026 focus more on reducing cost obstacles (e.g., rights‑of‑way reform) and incentivising private investment in fibre and wireless infrastructure.

6. Digital Skills, Innovation and Startup Policies

Nigeria is expanding digital skills initiatives, including collaborations between government, industry and academic institutions. 

These programmes supply talent to the growing tech sector, support innovation clusters and help bridge gaps in tech workforce readiness.

Relevant initiatives include:

• Expanded digital literacy programmes (public and private)
• Targeted training for young professionals in software, cybersecurity, AI‑related skills
• Regulatory incentives that support growth in startup ecosystems

These policies are better recognised as essential to sustaining Nigeria’s digital growth.

Global Policies and Standards Influencing Nigeria (2026)

Nigeria does not operate in a policy vacuum. Multiple international frameworks and regulatory regimes now affect domestic strategy, especially where digital services cross borders or foreign investment and trade are involved.

Here are the key global policies in 2026 that are important to Nigeria:

1. European Union Artificial Intelligence Act

The EU AI Act, adopted in 2024 and set to become fully applicable by 2 August 2026, is the world’s first comprehensive regulatory framework for artificial intelligence. 

It uses a risk‑based classification to regulate AI systems, impose information duties, and ban harmful uses. 

Although it is an EU law, the Act has global effects:

• It applies to providers and deployers whose products affect the EU market, even if based elsewhere.
• It introduces obligations for general‑purpose systems, transparency, impact assessments and documentation.
• Penalties for non‑compliance can be significant.

For Nigerian digital product developers and exporters, compliance with the EU AI Act is becoming more of a commercial necessity if they serve EU customers or integrate with platforms operating in Europe.

The Act’s phased compliance timeline and extraterritorial reach mean that businesses worldwide, including in Nigeria, must adjust governance and product development practices in the new year to avoid market limitations.

2. African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Digital Trade Protocol

The AfCFTA Digital Trade Protocol is part of Africa’s trade pact and seeks common standards for digital trade, including:

• E‑commerce regulations
• Consumer protection
• Electronic transactions
• Interoperable standards for services

AfCFTA signatories like Nigeria have taken steps to implement these protocols, making the country a digital trade champion in Africa. 

This framework reduces conflict for cross‑border digital services within the continent, encouraging harmonised regulation and a larger integrated market.

3. WTO and Digital Trade Initiatives

The World Trade Organisation (WTO) and the World Bank are working on projects supporting digital trade uptake in Africa. The emphasis is on reducing limitations to data flows, enabling digital export services, and harmonising policies with international norms.

Nigeria’s engagement in these processes affects its trade policy and digital market regulations, as the country works to align with global trade expectations. 

4. Global Digital Governance Principles

Various multilateral initiatives, especially under the United Nations and G7/OECD forums, are producing guiding principles on digital rights, human‑centred governance, and ethical use of new technologies.

While these frameworks are not binding, they influence investor expectations, normative benchmarks for regulation, and bilateral cooperation agreements.

Sectoral Impacts: How Policies Affect Key Industries

Fintech and Payments

Fintech is one of the fastest‑growing sub‑sectors of the digital economy, helping drive revenue growth. Payment systems, digital banking, and e‑commerce platforms are directly affected by:

• Data protection laws
• Cross‑border data flow expectations
• Digital identity policy
• AfCFTA e‑commerce frameworks

Nigeria’s regulatory approach aims to strike a balance between innovation and consumer protection.

Artificial Intelligence Beyond Compliance

AI is a strategic focus of both domestic and global policy:

• Nigerian policy levers include evolving digital regulation under the National Digital Economy and E‑Governance Bill.
• EU AI Act compliance affects products and services destined for Europe.
• Global best practices influence national frameworks and industry standards.

AI governance in 2026 will be more about risk oversight, accountability and interoperability.

Digital Infrastructure and Public Services

Digital public infrastructure such as identity systems, interoperable platforms and reliable broadband are central to policy execution.

Broadband expansion, DPI rollout, and regulatory certainty are critical for long‑term digital inclusion and competitiveness.

Policy Synergies, Gaps and Opportunities

While Nigeria has a growing policy toolkit, there are still challenges:

• Digital Divide: Broadband and internet access is still uneven, especially in rural areas. 
• Regulatory Coordination: Overlapping mandates between regulators can slow implementation.
• Global Compliance: Adhering to global norms (e.g., the EU AI Act) requires capacity building and investment in governance systems.

The opportunities are quite obvious:

• Alignment with AfCFTA positions Nigeria at the heart of African digital trade.
• Global frameworks bring a chance to signal regulatory maturity to investors.
• Domestic laws now provide clearer rules for data protection and AI.

In 2026, Nigeria’s digital economy has matured from a nascent sector to a major growth engine, underpinned by solid policy frameworks, energetic private innovation, and active engagement with global regulatory regimes.

In 2026, the digital economy policies in the sector will involve implementation, compliance, infrastructure expansion and capacity development. 

And yes, the foundations are now in place for Nigeria to benefit from its internal digital market, and also compete globally, provided that policymakers, businesses and citizens work in concert to close gaps, adopt standards, and sustain digital growth.

But in 2025, the tables have turned. The ‘Giant of Africa’ now looks like the continent’s middle child, still the great startup hub, but subtly losing attention.

Across Africa, startups have raised about $2.2 billion in funding so far this year, through September. It’s not a bad figure, in fact, it shows a comeback after 2024’s sluggish performance. 

But Nigeria’s share of that pot is behind. Once the darling of venture capital, the country now follows Kenya, South Africa, and Egypt behind in investor flow and deal flow. We could say this decline reveals cracks in policy, perception, and predictability.

The Numbers

Let’s look at the facts. In the third quarter of 2025, African startups collectively pulled in hundreds of millions, a steady rebound from the funding winter of 2023-2024.

September alone saw between $140 million and $160 million in disclosed deals, a strong 430% recovery from August’s slump. South Africa topped with roughly $64 million, followed by Nigeria’s $44 million, Kenya’s $22 million, and Egypt’s $15 million.

Yes, Nigeria ranked second that month, but context matters. A single month’s uptick doesn’t reverse a year-long slide. The $44 million figure looks good until you recall that just two years ago, Nigeria regularly attracted over 40% of Africa’s total venture capital. Today, that has thinned, the rebound is real, but the lead is gone.

It’s not that Nigeria didn’t have highlights. Lagos-based Kredete closed a $22 million Series A round, one of the continent’s biggest in the month. But a handful of bright spots cannot disguise the bigger difference. Nigeria’s once-dominant startup sector is now fighting for air.

Why the Slide? The Risk Equation

There’s no single villain here. It’s a mix of currency challenges, policy inconsistency, and investor fatigue.

1. Currency Risk and FX Instability
Let’s start with the obvious, the naira. Investors hate surprises, and Nigeria’s currency offers plenty. A venture capitalist can invest $5 million today and see its real value drop by a quarter within months. For startups, it’s a nightmare: revenues in naira, debts in dollars, and no way to plan beyond next quarter.

Currency instability doesn’t just kill profit margins; it kills patience.

2. Regulatory Whiplash
One month, a fintech is celebrated for innovation; the next, it’s hit with a compliance directive or policy change that halts operations. The Central Bank’s unpredictable stance on digital assets, tax laws, and banking limits has left founders second-guessing the next move. For investors, unpredictability is more frightening than failure, you can’t plan for confusion.

3. Investor Confidence Erosion
Venture capital is about risk, but it’s also about trust. And Nigeria’s perception problem runs deep. The inflation rate, the liquidity problem of 2024, and the fear of policy reversals have pushed many funds to look elsewhere.

Kenya’s climate-tech growth looks more predictable. Egypt’s structured reforms provide clearer returns. South Africa’s venture-debt model gives investors better exit options. In comparison, Nigeria? Quite unstable.

4. Cost and Infrastructure Burden

Even the best Nigerian startups fight a heavier battle. Cost of power bites into margins, logistics are inconsistent, and security concerns increase overheads. The same $5 million that can comfortably sustain a startup in Nairobi or Cairo barely covers the basics in Lagos. Investors see this, and they price it in, or calmly move their money elsewhere.

5. Lack of Exit Opportunities

And then there’s the silence after success. Since Paystack’s 2020 acquisition, Nigeria has produced few visible exits. No IPOs, no major mergers, no new liquidity events. For investors, that’s a red flag. Without an exit, even the best-performing portfolio company becomes a waiting game. Venture capital doesn’t thrive on patience, it thrives on movement.

Meanwhile, Elsewhere in Africa…

Kenya, Egypt, and South Africa have been rebalancing the equation.

Kenya has turned climate-tech into a national asset. Its policy environment rewards clean-energy startups and provides tax incentives that attract green investors. 

Egypt, after years of reforms, now has one of the most transparent startup ecosystems on the continent. Its currency stabilisation plan and government support for digital infrastructure are winning back foreign confidence.

South Africa, on the other hand, plays a more sophisticated game. Its venture-debt market gives startups more flexibility and gives investors partial liquidity, a balance Nigeria still hasn’t mastered. 

Together, these hubs have built something Nigeria once had, predictability.

Reclaiming the Edge: What Nigeria Must Do Next

The thing is that Nigeria still has the best talent pool in Africa. Its entrepreneurs are fearless, resourceful, and globally aware. Innovation isn’t the problem; the system is.

To get back in the game of venture capital investment, Nigeria needs credibility, the kind that comes from action, not announcements.

1. Ensure FX Stability:
   A predictable currency policy restores trust faster than any PR campaign.
2. Create a Transparent Regulatory Environment:
   Investors can live with tough regulations, they can’t live with arbitrary ones. Nigeria must fix its fintech and crypto regulatory frameworks if it wants long-term funding.
3. Mobilise Local Capital:
   Pension funds, sovereign wealth vehicles, and high-net-worth individuals must be encouraged to fund innovation. Relying solely on foreign dollars is a risk in itself, unsustainable.
4. Build Exit Pipeline:
   Encourage IPOs, mergers, and acquisitions. When investors see others cash out, they come back, fast.
5. Fix the Basics:
   Energy, internet reliability, and logistics are not “startup issues”, they’re national competitiveness issues. Solving them will reduce risk and attract fresh capital.
6. Promote Investor Dialogue:
   Nigeria’s public and private sectors need to start speaking the same language. Investors hate surprises more than they hate losses.

The venture capital hasn’t left Africa; it’s just gotten pickier, and Nigeria has to earn trust again. The ideas, the founders, the products, they’re all here. What’s missing is a sense that the system itself won’t betray them.

If Nigeria can steady its currency, clean up its regulations, and show genuine respect for investor logic, its startup sector will recover faster than many expect.

Investors go where stability lives. If Nigeria can steady its policy, stabilise its currency, and show a consistent commitment to reform, its startup sector would reignite, with more venture capital investments.