Naira depreciation Archives | Tech | Business | Economy https://techeconomy.ng/tag/naira-depreciation/ Tech | Business | Economy Mon, 01 Jun 2026 11:38:34 +0000 en-GB hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0 https://techeconomy.ng/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/cropped-256Px-32x32.png Naira depreciation Archives | Tech | Business | Economy https://techeconomy.ng/tag/naira-depreciation/ 32 32 Top Investment Opportunities for Nigerians in 2026: Where Smart Money Is Moving https://techeconomy.ng/top-investment-opportunities-nigeria-2026/ https://techeconomy.ng/top-investment-opportunities-nigeria-2026/#respond Mon, 01 Jun 2026 11:38:34 +0000 https://techeconomy.ng/?p=182631 A clear breakdown of where investment opportunities are emerging in Nigeria in 2026, from low-risk capital preservation tools to high-growth sectors and dollar-linked assets

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Cash is now one of the most expensive things to hold in Nigeria, right after silence, when food prices are increasing.”

That is not an exaggeration, because when you look around, you see this driving every financial decision in the country today. 

People are earning, but many are not feeling it. When salaries come, they dissolve almost immediately into transport, food, rent, and a long list of unavoidable expenses. 

In this situation, investing is no longer a light conversation, you need it to survive, it is a strategy dressed as financial planning.

So we are past the point of asking whether to invest. The focus now is on where capital still works in an economy like this, and why.

The Investment Climate: Why Everything Seems Different Now

I think it is important to start with the environment before talking about opportunities. Nigeria is not operating in a “normal” market cycle but adjusting to a high-cost economy where money behaves differently.

Interest rates are elevated compared to recent years, and that alone has changed investor behaviour. Fixed-income instruments have become attractive again, not because they are exciting, but because they finally pay something meaningful.

At the same time, inflation is affecting daily lives more than any headline indicator. Food prices, transport fares, and basic goods are still absorbing a large share of income. 

Even when prices stabilise for a short period, people don’t feel relief immediately. Purchasing power does not recover quickly, it erodes slowly and then suddenly seems to be gone.

Then there is the currency. The naira has gone through repeated adjustments and market pressures that have made planning difficult for households and businesses alike. 

This has created a split reality for investors, naira-based returns versus dollar-linked thinking. And yes, both are important.

Put simply, we are in an economy where preservation of value is just as important as growth.

The Investment Opportunities in 2026

Tier 1: Capital Preservation in a High-Rate Economy

There is a shift happening among informed investors, with many no longer placing high returns first, instead, they are trying to stop losses before anything else.

1. Government securities and fixed income

Treasury bills and federal government bonds have become core again. They offer predictable returns in a period where unpredictability is everywhere else.

For conservative investors, this is not about profit maximisation, the focus is stability. It is a place to park funds while still earning something that competes with inflation pressure.

2. Money market funds

Money market funds have also gotten attention, especially among salaried workers and small businesses. They provide liquidity with relatively stable yields and this is important in a volatile environment.

What is interesting here is not just the returns, but the behaviour change. People who once ignored these instruments are now actively using them as a default holding position for cash.

3. Fixed deposits

Fixed deposits still exist in the conversation, but their role has changed, and in many cases, they are now about discipline, not just return. The comparison is not against traditional savings accounts, but against inflation itself.

If your money is not growing faster than prices, it is effectively shrinking.

Tier 2: Income-Generating Assets That Still Work

This is where things become more dynamic. Income generation is now the focus for a large segment of investors.

4. Dividend-paying equities

The Nigerian stock market rewards select sectors, particularly banking and telecommunications. These are not speculative plays in this context, they are cash-flow businesses operating in a high-interest environment.

Banks, for example, usually benefit from elevated interest rates, which can boost earnings in certain conditions. Telecoms are relatively defensive because demand for data and connectivity does not disappear during economic stress.

However, this is not a uniform situation, because stock selection is more important than ever and the gap between strong performers and weak ones is wide.

5. Real estate: income versus expectation

Real estate in Nigeria has always carried emotional weight. People trust it but the reality today is more complex.

Rental income has become the more reliable angle compared to pure capital appreciation. In urban centres, demand for housing is still strong, but affordability is where the headache comes in. That stress drives both opportunity and frustration.

There is also a transition towards peri-urban development, areas slightly outside major city centres where land is still accessible and demand is gradually increasing.

Real estate has gone beyond owning property to understanding location timing.

6. Agriculture and food systems

Agriculture is one of the most structurally important investment areas in Nigeria. But it has gone beyond farming. The value is now in the entire chain, from processing, storage, logistics, to distribution.

Now, when it comes to food inflation, it is not just a consumer issue but also a signal of demand imbalance. Where inefficiency exists, opportunity usually follows.

Tier 3: High-Growth, High-Risk Opportunities

In the year 2026, the investment opportunities in this section attract attention, but also require cautiousness.

7. Fintech and digital finance

Financial technology expands continuously because it is directly on top of real problems, such as payments, access, and informal financial systems. Even with increased regulation and competition, innovation is far from saturated.

The opportunity here is in infrastructure that supports financial access, not just in new platforms.

8. Tech-enabled services and remote work

One of the silent shifts in Nigeria’s economy is the growing reliance on global income streams. Remote work, freelance services, and digital exports are now part of household income strategies.

Earning in foreign currency is attractive, yes, but it is becoming a hedge.

9. Import substitution businesses

There is also an opportunity in replacing imports. With costs increasing and currency pressures persisting, locally produced alternatives become more competitive.

This is happening in packaging, consumer goods, and basic manufacturing inputs. Where imports become expensive, local production becomes relevant.

10. Dollar-Linked Opportunities: The Noiseless Priority

This is perhaps the most important section for understanding modern Nigerian investment behaviour.

More investors are thinking in dual currency terms not because they want to abandon the naira, but because they want protection.

Export-oriented businesses are growing, and so are services that generate foreign income. Even diaspora-linked financial flows influence fintech growth.

There is a simple logic here, which is that if your income is entirely tied to one currency, your risk is also tied to it.

Where Smart Money Is Moving

Rather than just listing industries, it is more useful to observe direction.

Banking is essential, largely due to the interest rate environment, energy-related sectors evolve alongside global oil and transition discussions, while telecommunications are structurally strong because consumption patterns are stable even under pressure.

Logistics and distribution are expanding as supply chain expenses change how goods move across the country.

These are responses to how the economy is actually functioning.

Risks That Cannot Be Ignored

Any serious investment discussion in Nigeria must include risk, but it should not just be as a warning at the end, it should be part of the decision process.

Currency volatility is a structural factor as we see inflation still affecting returns. Liquidity challenges can appear unexpectedly, especially in property and private markets.

There is also the issue of unregulated investment schemes targeting retail investors during periods of economic stress. This is where caution becomes more important than ambition.

Returns mean very little if capital is lost.

How Investors Are Thinking Now

One of the most obvious changes I have observed is not in what people invest in, but how they allocate.

A more balanced approach is here:

  • Conservative investors lean heavily on fixed income and money market instruments.
  • Balanced investors mix equities, real estate, and cash-like instruments.
  • Aggressive investors include foreign currency exposure, tech, and alternative assets.

There is no perfect formula but there is a common theme, which is diversification now a necessity.

Nigeria today is not a market where one decision guarantees stability. It is a market where structure is more essential than prediction.

The most important focus is protecting purchasing power while still participating in growth.

In simple terms, the goal has gone beyond just growing money. It is to make sure money does not silently lose meaning while sitting still.

That is the actual investment opportunities this year, 2026.

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Naira Opens Week Lower at N1,545/$1 in Black Market https://techeconomy.ng/naira-opens-week-lower-n1545-dollar-black-market/ https://techeconomy.ng/naira-opens-week-lower-n1545-dollar-black-market/#comments Tue, 19 Aug 2025 07:25:12 +0000 https://techeconomy.ng/?p=165426 In the official market, the naira performance was similarly to the black market as it opened the week lower at N1,534/$1, a mild depreciation from its last Friday close of N1,533/$1

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The naira opened the week in a decline as it fell to N1,545/$1 in the black market on Monday, down from its previous week’s close of N1,540/$1.

As the demand for foreign currencies mounted, the naira also declined against the euro, as the euro buy price rose to N1,775/€1, and sold for N1,800/€1 on the first day of the week.

However, the naira movement recorded a mixed performance, despite depreciating against other foreign currencies, the Nigerian currency strengthened against the British pound to N2,080/£1 from its prior rate of N2,090/£1 while it sold for N2,100/£1 from N2,110/£1.

In the official market, the naira’s performance was similarly to the black market as it opened the week lower at N1,534/$1, a mild depreciation from its last Friday close of N1,533/$1.

During the day’s trading session, the pair fluctuated between N1,532/$1 and N1,535/$1 on Monday.

The naira’s slow start to the week highlights ongoing pressure in the foreign exchange market. However, market participants continue to watch the naira while monitoring developments that could influence the currency’s performance.

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TradeDepot Unveils Affordable Food Brand ‘Mangrove’ to Tackle Inflation, Naira Depreciation https://techeconomy.ng/tradedepot-launches-affordable-food-brand-mangrove/ https://techeconomy.ng/tradedepot-launches-affordable-food-brand-mangrove/#respond Mon, 03 Feb 2025 15:42:16 +0000 https://techeconomy.ng/?p=152417 This initiative is aimed at addressing the economic challenges faced by Nigerian consumers, particularly as inflation keeps rising, added to the depreciation of the naira

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TradeDepot, a B2B e-commerce platform known for linking FMCG manufacturers with retailers, has launched its own food brand, Mangrove. 

This initiative is aimed at addressing the economic challenges faced by Nigerian consumers, particularly as inflation keeps rising, added to the depreciation of the naira. 

The new brand promises to provide affordable, essential food items such as sardines, rice, flour, and canned fish, all carefully sourced to offer high quality at lower prices.

While Mangrove is not yet officially launched, it has already garnered attention from distributors through its website. In cutting out the middleman, TradeDepot hopes to offer consumers an alternative to the “brand tax”—the premium often associated with well-established food labels. With rising food costs, this move is timely, as it seeks to deliver savings directly to the consumer.

We used to simply distribute for brands,” says Onyekachi Izukanne, CEO of TradeDepot. “Now, we’re integrating backwards into the supply chain by producing our products and bringing them directly to the market.”

Mangrove’s pricing model is a huge contrast to popular brands in the market. For example, its sardines are priced at ₦1,050, way cheaper than the widely recognised Titus sardine, which retails for ₦1,450. This price reduction could make a big difference for low-to-middle-income families, providing them with a chance to buy more food or save for future needs.

This move into manufacturing places TradeDepot in a strong position within Nigeria’s food sector, especially as consumers face a 34.8% inflation rate. 

TradeDepot is not stopping at shifting towards food production with Mangrove, but also expanding its role in the market by cutting out middlemen. This strategy, combined with its large retail network, could make the company a potential acquisition target for larger FMCG companies.

TradeDepot’s new path, however, brings added complexities. Unlike before, when the company focused on last-mile distribution, the shift to manufacturing and importing means that production delays or missed schedules could drive up costs. 

Per TechCabal, a former FMCG executive, speaking anonymously, highlighted these issues: “When they were only concerned with last-mile distribution, they could source products locally. But now that they are manufacturing and importing, every extra day outside schedule incurs additional costs.”

Again, TradeDepot’s transition into manufacturing positions its competitors—other wholesalers and distributors—as prospective customers. Izukanne explains, “Our biggest competitor is the wholesaler in the market. They can cut corners in ways we can’t and have a different cost structure.”

TradeDepot’s deep knowledge of the FMCG sector and its large distribution network give it a competitive edge. The company leverages data to advise manufacturers on the best distribution strategies, helping to streamline logistics and ensure more efficient market entry. 

Added to this, TradeDepot has secured exclusive distribution rights for well-known brands such as Unilever and Prime Hydration, a beverage brand co-owned by Logan Paul and KSI. These exclusive deals further reiterate its major role in the FMCG sector.

In response to its expanded operations, TradeDepot has adjusted its logistics model, now relying more on third-party providers to handle distribution. This change allows the company to focus on its core business of connecting manufacturers to retailers while scaling more efficiently.

TradeDepot’s adoption of manufacturing stands in contrast to other startups in the B2B e-commerce space, such as OmniRetail, which has diversified into fintech. 

With the launch of Mangrove, added to its focus on manufacturing and exclusive distribution, TradeDepot is ensuring direct value to both its customers and partners, rather than venturing into unrelated sectors.

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MTN Nigeria Targets N50 Billion in Series 11 and 12 CPs to Offset N1.49 Trillion Working Capital Deficit https://techeconomy.ng/mtn-nigeria-targets-n50-billion-in-series-11-and-12-cps-to-offset-n1-49-trillion-working-capital-deficit/ https://techeconomy.ng/mtn-nigeria-targets-n50-billion-in-series-11-and-12-cps-to-offset-n1-49-trillion-working-capital-deficit/#comments Mon, 04 Nov 2024 13:43:12 +0000 https://techeconomy.ng/?p=146945 This Series 11 and 12 issuance, officially announced to the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public, aims to bolster MTN Nigeria’s short-term working capital

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MTN Nigeria Communications Plc plans to raise N50 billion through its latest commercial paper (CP) issuance, as part of its N250 billion CP Issuance Programme. 

This Series 11 and 12 issuance, officially announced to the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public, aims to bolster MTN Nigeria’s short-term working capital, offering a simplified approach to meet the company’s immediate financial needs.

Issuing commercial papers aligns with the telecom giant’s goal of tapping into the debt market as a more flexible funding source. This allows MTN to manage short-term financial obligations without fully relying on long-term loans, balancing its capital structure. 

The funds raised are intended to drive MTN’s operational goals, including expanding its infrastructure and meeting the growing demand for telecommunications and digital services across Nigeria.

According to MTN Nigeria’s latest financial disclosures as of September 2024, the company faces negative working capital estimated at around N1.49 trillion. With its N250 billion CP programme, MTN has the flexibility to issue commercial papers in series, which provides a cost-effective means of addressing its working capital requirements. 

This method allows MTN Nigeria to manage its cash flow efficiently, helping to offset interest costs while catering to short-term debt needs. For MTN, which has some external loans, this approach provides greater agility to withstand Nigeria’s economic fluctuations and high inflation rates.

Currently, MTN holds an external loan portfolio of approximately N1 trillion, with over half of this, around N522.3 billion, in short-term loans. In issuing the Series 11 and 12 commercial papers, MTN intends to address these short-term liabilities more effectively, thereby reducing its reliance on traditional bank loans. 

This diversification in funding channels will support MTN’s liquidity and also strengthen its financial footing in a challenging economic environment.

Previous CP issuances by MTN highlight a consistent strategy to shore up working capital. In December 2023, MTN raised N72.1 billion through a commercial paper issuance, which followed a N52.9 billion issuance the previous month. 

These underline MTN’s reliance on commercial papers to secure liquidity for operational costs while addressing its short-term debt obligations.

Further details on the terms and conditions of the Series 11 and 12 commercial papers are expected soon, but MTN’s recent financial focus provides insight into the company’s performance. After a series of losses over three quarters, MTN reported a profit after tax of N4.13 billion in Q3 2024. 

However, high inflation and the ongoing depreciation of the naira have impacted its operational expenses, underlining the importance of this commercial paper issuance in sustaining the company’s stability amid an unpredictable business climate.

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Understanding the Naira’s Fluctuations: What Does it Mean for the Average Startup https://techeconomy.ng/understanding-the-naira-fluctuations-what-does-it-mean-for-the-average-startup/ https://techeconomy.ng/understanding-the-naira-fluctuations-what-does-it-mean-for-the-average-startup/#respond Mon, 02 Sep 2024 11:01:40 +0000 https://techeconomy.ng/?p=141912 In fact, between January 2020 and January 2024, the Naira depreciated by over 200% against the Dollar

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Imagine you’re the founder of a promising tech startup in Lagos. You’ve just secured a huge investment from a foreign venture capital firm, and you’re ready to scale your operations. 

However, within a few months, the Naira depreciates by 20% against the Dollar. Suddenly, your imported software licenses, hardware, and other essential resources become way more expensive, squeezing your budget and threatening your growth plans.

This has become the usual situation in Nigeria, where the Naira’s fluctuations have become alarming. In fact, between January 2020 and January 2024, the Naira depreciated by over 200% against the Dollar. For startups, which usually rely on imported goods and foreign investments, such fluctuations have had huge negative impacts on their operational expenses and financial stability.

The Naira was introduced in 1973, replacing the Nigerian pound at a rate of 2 Naira to 1 pound. Initially, the Naira was relatively strong. However, in the 1980s, the global oil glut led to a sharp decline in oil prices—Nigeria’s main export—causing economic downturn and devaluation of the Naira. 

The Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) implemented by the IMF in 1986 aimed to stabilize the economy but resulted in further devaluation and inflation. This was the beginning of a long regime of instability for the Naira, with its value continuing to depreciate through the 1990s and 2000s due to political instability, corruption, and mismanagement of oil revenues. 

The introduction of multiple exchange rates by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in an attempt to stabilize the economy only added to the issues, creating differences between the official and black market rates.

More recently, the 2016 recession, triggered by a drop in oil prices and production, caused the Naira’s value to plummet, leading to high inflation and economic hardship. The COVID-19 pandemic further weakened the Naira, worsening existing economic challenges due to the global economic slowdown and reduced oil demand.

Link to Startups: The Impact of Currency Fluctuations

Nigeria’s startup sector keeps expanding, with estimates revealing between 3,000 and 5,000 active startups across sectors like fintech, agritech, healthtech, and edtech. 

In 2022 alone, Nigerian startups attracted approximately $1.2 billion in venture capital. Reports from sources such as the Startup Genome Report and the African Development Bank highlight Nigeria as a leading startup hub in Africa.

One of the most immediate effects of Naira fluctuations on these startups is on input costs. Startups that rely on imported goods or services, such as tech hardware or software subscriptions, face high expenses as the Naira depreciates. This slowly kills profit margins, forcing startups to either absorb the cost, which may not be sustainable, or pass it on to customers through price hikes, potentially reducing demand.

These include decisions on pricing, cost-cutting measures, and whether to pivot business models. The stress of operating in such an unpredictable environment can lead to burnout, affecting team morale and productivity, and ultimately, layoffs.

Securing funding becomes more challenging in a fluctuating currency environment. Foreign investors may be wary of investing in Naira-denominated ventures due to the possibility of losing value, while local funding options may be limited or come with high interest rates, revealing the perceived risk. 

Some Nigerian fintech companies have had to offer more equity or accept lower valuations to attract foreign investment, given the perceived currency risks.

Case Studies

Despite these challenges in Naira fluctuations, some startups have managed to scale through currency fluctuations successfully. Paystack, for instance, the Nigerian fintech startup founded in 2015, built its business in a highly volatile environment. 

The founders, Shola Akinlade and Ezra Olubi, focused on building a payment infrastructure that could accommodate multiple currencies, allowing them to tap into international markets early on. 

Their ability to attract foreign investment, despite the Naira’s instability, resulted from a strategic approach. By pricing some of their services in stable foreign currencies, they mitigated the impact of the Naira’s depreciation on their revenue.

Flutterwave also thrived by diversifying its revenue streams and expanding into multiple markets, reducing its reliance on the Naira. 

Jumia, on the other hand, faced increased import costs, squeezing profit margins and complicating pricing strategies. Andela struggled with a rise in salary payments and operational expenses, while FarmCrowdy saw an increase in costs for agricultural inputs.

This shows that resilience and adaptability are required to succeed in Nigeria, added to strategic planning and the ability to pivot quickly in response to external pressures.

The Direct Impact: Cost Structures and Profit Margins

For startups with tight budgets, Naira fluctuations can quickly deteriorate profit margins. When the Naira depreciates and input costs rise, startups must either accept lower profits or increase prices.

Aside from import-reliant startups that have to raise costs for essential inputs, startups that utilize local resources may experience more stability in their cost structures, though they are not entirely immune to Naira fluctuations. The availability and quality of local alternatives can be limiting, making complete reliance on domestic resources challenging.

This is where the importance of “currency risk management” for startups comes in, a strategy that involves hedging against currency risks or diversifying income streams across multiple currencies to protect profit margins from exchange rate drops, as Flutterwave did.

Funding Challenges: Venture Capital and Investor Confidence

The instability of the Naira often dissuades foreign investors, who may view investments in Nigerian startups as high-risk due to the probable loss in value. This can greatly impact funding rounds and valuations, as seen in several cases where promising startups struggled to raise capital because of investor doubts over currency instability.

Startups must be able to handle the trade-offs between local and foreign funding. Local investors may offer more stability and an understanding of the market’s complications, but they often provide less capital and may have higher expectations for immediate returns. 

On the other hand, foreign investors can bring high capital and global connections, but their hesitation around the Naira fluctuations can lead to tougher negotiations and more strict terms.

The Innovation Response: Adapting Business Models

In response to currency fluctuations, many startups are adopting lean business models, focusing on cost efficiency and rapid pivots to minimize financial strain. In cutting unnecessary expenses and streamlining operations, these startups aim to maintain profitability even as their input costs rise. 

For instance, some startups have moved to cloud-based solutions with flexible pricing models, reducing the need for costly, upfront capital expenditures.

To overcome currency instability, some startups have developed dynamic pricing models that allow them to adjust prices based on real-time exchange rates. This strategy ensures that they can maintain profitability without alienating customers. 

For example, e-commerce platforms may update product prices frequently to reflect changes in the Naira’s value, balancing the need to cover rising costs with the importance of remaining competitive in the market.

Nigerian startups can manage Naira fluctuations by diversifying revenue streams, employing financial planning tools, innovating products, and adapting business practices. 

For instance, Jumia mitigates currency risk by sourcing products globally, Flutterwave uses hedging for cost predictability, and Paystack develops scalable digital solutions. 

Adapting pricing and forming local partnerships, as seen with Interswitch, also helps address market challenges. These strategies can help Nigerian startups better navigate currency fluctuations and sustain growth.

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