According to the latest Economic Report of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the sharp decline came as foreign investors increasingly favoured bonds and money market instruments, with foreign portfolio investment rising to $3.37 billion in January from $940 million in December 2025.

The trend highlights a growing preference for short-term debt assets over direct investments in businesses and productive sectors of the economy.

According to the CBN,

“Direct investment fell by 80.0 per cent to $0.03 billion in the review period.” The apex bank, however, noted that total capital inflow into the economy rose significantly during the month.

“The economy recorded a higher inflow of capital during the review period, driven mainly by the significant increase in portfolio investment inflow,” the report stated.

Overall capital importation climbed to $3.52bn in January 2026, compared with $1.25bn recorded in December 2025, largely on the back of increased foreign participation in the domestic fixed-income market.

The report stated that foreign portfolio investment accounted for $3.37bn of the total inflow. “A disaggregation showed that inflow of foreign portfolio investment amounted to $3.37 billion, a surge from the $0.94 billion in December 2025, due to significantly higher inflows for the purchase of bonds and money market instruments,” the CBN said.

Further analysis showed that portfolio investment accounted for 95.72 per cent of total capital inflows during the review period, while direct investment contributed only 0.77 per cent.

Other investment, consisting mainly of loans, accounted for 3.51 per cent of total inflows and declined to $120m from $160m in the preceding month.

The figures suggest that while foreign investors are returning to Nigeria’s financial markets, particularly attracted by high yields on fixed-income securities, appetite for long-term investments in factories, infrastructure, and other productive ventures remains subdued.

Sectoral analysis in the report showed that the banking industry was the biggest beneficiary of foreign capital inflows, attracting 75.15 per cent of the total funds imported into the economy in January.

Financing activities accounted for 22.20 per cent of total inflows, while production and manufacturing received just 1.16 per cent. Investments in shares accounted for 0.76 per cent, with trading and other sectors making up the balance.

The development came amid improved performance in Nigeria’s external sector. The CBN reported that the country recorded a stronger trade position during the review period, supported by higher export earnings and sustained capital inflows.

External reserves rose to $48.88bn in January 2026, providing import cover of 8.93 months for goods and services.

The naira also appreciated by 2.43 per cent at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market to N1,416.52/$ from the level recorded in the preceding month.

The report suggests that although macroeconomic conditions and foreign exchange stability have encouraged increased foreign participation in Nigeria’s financial markets, investors continue to favour liquid debt instruments over long-term commitments in the real sector of the economy.

President Bola Tinubu earlier said Nigeria is on course to attract close to $20bn in foreign direct investment in 2026 alone. He attributed the figure to his administration’s systematic removal of regulatory bottlenecks, macroeconomic stabilisation, and transparency reforms.

Tinubu said, “Removing all the bottlenecks gives you the necessary incentives for direct foreign investment into the country. This year alone, I can beat my chest that Nigeria is attracting close to $20bn in foreign direct investments.”

(Source: Punch)

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Located in the Alaro City corridor, Itana aims to become Africa’s first fully digital economic zone.

I believe this project brings one of the clearest windows into how Nigeria might re-imagine its economic model for the next decade. 

But for real, will it become a measurable impact? This piece examines how Itana works, why it’s important, what stands in its way, and what it means for investors, policymakers and Nigeria’s broader tech ecosystem.

Nigeria’s Tech & Investment Space

Nigeria is home to one of Africa’s largest technology markets. Its fintech sector in particular has produced global-recognised firms and attracts a disproportionate share of Africa-bound venture capital.

But the country still faces structural limitations including power outages, foreign-exchange instability, regulatory uncertainty and infrastructure gaps. 

In the free-zone space, Nigeria already has numerous industrial‐ or manufacturing-oriented zones under the Nigeria Export Processing Zones Authority (NEPZA) framework, more than 44 zones licensed under its regulations as of 2022. 

The typical free-zone model in Nigeria has been rooted in export manufacturing, not digital services. This leaves a gap, even with software, remote work, digital trade and services having the upper hand in the country, Nigeria still risks being left behind unless it adapts.

What Itana Is – Vision, Model, Mechanics

Itana has been built as the first digital free zone in Nigeria, and arguably in Africa. It uses Nigeria’s existing free-zone laws, rather than waiting for entirely new legislation, to launch a business jurisdiction tailored to digital, tech and services companies. 

Key features include:

• A 72,000 m² initial district in Alaro City, Lagos State’s Lekki Free Zone corridor, with mixed-use physical infrastructure: campus, co-living, outdoor work areas, biking trails, reliable power, fibre-optic internet, piped gas and clean water. 
• Incorporation and operations entirely digital: a business can be registered remotely (from Nairobi, London or Yaba) with a fee of $2,000 initial and $1,150 annual renewal, which covers business address, document handling and collaborative space access.
• Regulatory and operational incentives: tax advantages for eligible businesses, ability to operate in foreign currencies (USD, GBP, EUR, etc.), no expatriate quotas for work/residency in the zone, full foreign ownership permitted.
• Strong institutional backing: a partnership with the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) that committed $100 million to phase one of the development. 
• Government engagement: in mid-2025, a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade & Investment pledged to support Itana’s mission to create 100,000 high-value jobs over five years.
  In short: Itana cannot just be described as a piece of land, but a package of infrastructure + regulation + ecosystem for digital/tech services. I view it as a kind of jurisdictional innovation experiment: can Nigeria create a “digital enclave” that is globally competitive?

Why It’s Important: Opportunity & Value Proposition

For global digital businesses, Itana provides a great value proposition: a gateway into Africa with streamlined incorporation, tax/operational incentives, and access to Nigeria’s large market (and by extension, continental reach). 

In other words, less friction to set up and scale from Nigeria. For Nigeria and Africa, Itana offers three major benefits:

• FDI attraction & talent retention – In offering a globally competitive jurisdiction, it may pull in foreign capital and keep diaspora talent or local entrepreneurs from exiting.
• Leap-frogging infrastructure/regulation – Rather than upgrading every regulatory detail nationwide, Nigeria can pilot a high-standards zone. If successful, the model may diffuse.
• Pan-African hub leverage – With the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), and rising digital services export potential, Nigeria could become a base for cross-border digital services. Analysts note that the shift from manufacturing to services is already overdue in Africa. 

From a strategic viewpoint: if Nigeria wants to pivot from being resource- and manufacturing-centric to services/digital-first, this project is indispensable.

The Risks, Limitations & Questions

No innovation of this scale is free from challenge. I flag several key issues:

• Governance and institutional risk – Even if Itana has its own brand of regulatory ease, it still sits within the bigger Nigerian context: currency risk, political risk, legal enforcement uncertainties. For a global firm, the question is whether the zone’s insulation is real.
• Equity and local integration – Will Itana become an isolated “digital enclave” benefiting only a few, without broad spill-over into the local economy? Are local businesses, workers and talent benefiting? If not, the model may aggravate inequalities.
• Infrastructure delivery – Promises of 24/7 power, dual fibre-optics, piped gas hinge on execution. If the physical layer falters, then the “digital zone” becomes less credible.
• Scalability and replicability – Can the model scale beyond Lagos, and can the regulatory/incentive model survive as more firms come in? There is the risk of rent-seeking, of incentives being watered down, or of the zone attracting “low-value” service firms rather than high-impact innovators.
• External competition and global positioning – Other African countries may seek to offer similar zones. Nigeria must maintain its competitive edge on cost, regulation, talent and infrastructure. If not, Itana may lose out.
• Capital repatriation/FX risk – One of the underlying advantages promised is multi-currency operations and capital movement. But Nigeria’s foreign-exchange regime is still complex, which could undermine this promise.

Implications for Policy, Investors & Ecosystem

For Government and Regulators:

• Must treat Itana not just as a real-estate or tech project but as a regulatory laboratory: immigration, taxation, labour laws, data protection, foreign ownership must align and be stable.
• Should think about integration: how to ensure spill-overs into the wider Nigerian economy, and that the zone doesn’t remain an island.
• Must monitor and report key metrics: jobs created, foreign capital inflow, exports of digital services, and local talent retention.

For Investors & Startups:

• Should assess jurisdictional risk carefully: what is the legal anchor of Itana’s incentives? Are they protected?
• Look at ecosystem strength: beyond infrastructure, what is the talent pool, what are the anchor companies, what’s the exit environment?
• Be aware of cost-benefit: Are the incentives meaningful compared to operating locally or in other jurisdictions?

For the Tech & Talent Ecosystem:

• Nigerian startups should view Itana as potential infrastructure, but not accept it as a replacement for building local capacity and networks.
• Universities, incubators and talent pipelines must feed into this model; otherwise, the zone may import talent rather than develop it locally.
• Digital services export must be pushed: the opportunity is not just in doing business in Nigeria, but serving global clients from Nigeria/Africa.

Comparative Models & Lessons from Abroad

Let’s briefly compare:

• Dubai Internet City (DIFC) – Offers streamlined regulation, physical infrastructure, regional hub status; success was aided by global connectivity and elite infrastructure.
• e‑Estonia – A micro-state digital-first model with e-residency, global incorporation, but benefiting from high institutional trust and digital culture.
• Delaware (USA) – Legal/regulatory jurisdiction favourable to incorporation, low tax burden, strong rule of law. 

The context matters hugely. Singapore, Dubai succeeded in part because they had stable institutions, strong enforcement, legal clarity. Nigeria doesn’t start from that level entirely, so the risk of “free zone in name only” is real. The success of Itana will depend heavily on execution, transparency, and legitimacy.

Roadmap & What to Watch

Key milestones and indicators:

• Completion of the physical campus: the 72,000 m² first district must be built and operational with promised infrastructure (power, connectivity) as of phase one. 
• Number of companies incorporated in Itana: especially foreign/foreign-founded service firms, and the volume of business they conduct from the zone. For example, “more than 70% of companies within Itana’s zone are diaspora-owned or foreign startups.” 
• Job creation outcome: the government-Itana MOU targets 100,000 high-value jobs over five years.
• Export of digital services: growth in services sold from Nigeria/Africa to global markets mediated via the zone.
• Spill-over metrics: talent retention, local start-ups using the infrastructure, integration with local industry, and whether tax incentives and regulatory clarity persist over time.
• Potential derailers: delayed infrastructure, policy reversals, changes in foreign-exchange regime, corruption or governance issues. 

If I were writing this article six months later, I’d look to these indicators to judge whether Itana is just a promising pilot or truly a transformational model for digital economies in Africa.

Itana has come at a sensitive moment for Nigeria and for Africa’s digital economy. It offers a path where regulatory limitations, infrastructure gaps and global competition are tackled through a purpose-built digital free zone. 

The opportunity is real, for foreign firms, for Nigerian talent, and for a continent seeking to leap ahead in services and tech rather than being stuck in resource-or manufacturing-led models.

But the goal will only be realised if execution matches ambition. I remain cautiously optimistic. If Itana successfully delivers on infrastructure, regulation, talent and integration, it could become a gateway for Africa’s sustainable digital growth. 

If it fails, it could become another isolated enclave, admired but limited in impact

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