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Home Macro Monday

Betting on Survival: The Economics Behind Nigeria’s Gambling Surge

by Joan Aimuengheuwa
June 23, 2025
in Macro Monday
0
Betting on Survival
Source: Techeconomy

Source: Techeconomy

UBA
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Every day, millions of Nigerians refresh their phones, eyes fixed on bet slips filled with hope. A ₦500 wager promises ₦50,000; a single goal or corner could decide whether there’s money for fuel, food, or transport tomorrow. 

Beyond a game or entertainment, betting has turned into survival for many. It has become a shadow economy; unregulated, growing, and dangerously desirable. 

While inflation has eased to 22.97% in May 2025, the cost of living is still painfully high. Food inflation stands at 21.14% in some regions, with over 11 million youth currently unemployed. The formal job market is weak and the naira’s value is still volatile. So, in this situation, sports betting has surged, offering supposed instant relief.

Betting Grew with Digitalisation

Once confined to corners and street kiosks, betting has evolved into an app-powered business. With platforms like Bet9ja, SportyBet, and 1xBet just a tap away, the gambling industry has embedded itself into Nigeria’s digital space.

What changed? Fast mobile internet, zero-data apps, and fintech services have made online betting frictionless. These platforms create full digital systems where engagement is constant and money moves in microseconds.

Nigeria’s gambling market is now projected to reach ₦5.4 trillion ($3.63 billion) in revenue by the end of 2025 and it goes beyond niche interest; more than 60 million Nigerians place bets regularly, and 51.7% of adults have participated in sports betting in the past year. Of those, 92.8% use mobile apps or online platforms, showing the influence of smartphones and digital wallets in everyday life.

Desperation in Disguise

To be honest, most people aren’t betting for fun but because life offers few alternatives. With few stable jobs, unaffordable essentials, and a currency unable to hold value, betting has become a tool of survival for millions.

They are not just chasing money, they are chasing control in a system that feels broken. The psychology is that even a low-probability win can feel like a plan. It gives people something to believe in, even if only for a weekend.

Over time, the lines between entertainment and necessity blur. I’ve seen friends who were once risk-averse now talking fluently in betting codes, obsessing over odds and results. Some bet daily, others borrow to place “just one more” slip. Hope is addictive, especially when nothing else feels within reach.

Influencers, Fintechs, and the Normalisation of Risk

There’s now a new breed of influencers; betting tipsters, odds peddlers, and prediction gurus. Dressed in designer labels and framed by luxury cars, they turn betting into a lifestyle brand. On TikTok and Telegram, they promise “sure odds,” flaunt “big wins,” and sell paid subscriptions for “insider tips.” The reality they promote is rarely about risk but all reward.

Fintech platforms, meanwhile, have enabled seamless payment flows. Digital wallets make it easy to deposit and bet without friction. These wallets, usually used for remittances, bill payments, and savings, are now primary gateways to betting platforms. This convergence of fintech and gambling is largely unregulated, and it leads to concerns about responsibility and ethics.

Are we witnessing a silent partnership between digital finance and digital gambling?

The Human and Economic Cost

The fallout is not always visible, but it is real. Gambling addiction is increasing, especially among the youth. Families are breaking under the weight of debt, rent money is disappearing into betting apps, students are skipping meals to place multi-slip bets and many of these stories never make headlines, because failure in betting is quietly endured.

Even more alarming is the number of underage users involved. Despite legal restrictions, many teenagers are actively betting, aided by lax digital checks and loopholes in mobile registrations. Age barriers exist, but in practice, enforcement is nearly non-existent.

What we’re seeing is beyond a financial issue, it’s a public health problem in slow motion.

The Silence of the Regulator

The National Lottery Regulatory Commission exists, but its voice is barely heard. There is no serious public campaign against betting addiction, no framework to hold platforms accountable for unethical practices and no formal obligation on fintechs to flag or limit excessive gambling behaviour.

This is both a policy gap and a leadership void. Betting companies are flourishing, yet there’s almost no investment in user education, digital well-being, or transparency.

Gambling isn’t illegal but unregulated gambling in a weak economy creates a recipe for personal and collective harm.

What Are We Really Betting On?

When millions of people, many of them educated, spend their days chasing odds, what does that say about our economy? What does it say about the level of trust in formal employment, fair wages, and long-term planning?

We can’t build a future by turning hope into a business model. The growth of betting isn’t just a statistic but a warning that when systems fail, people will create their own logic, their own economy, their own faith in chance.

With wages delayed in our country, pensions corrupted, and job offers being like lottery, betting has become the new currency of hope. But it is a fragile, dangerous hope that can easily flip into despair.

Nigeria needs better choices, better opportunities and leadership that understands that surviving should never have to come down to a single bet.

Have you felt the pressure to bet just to get by? Join the conversation using #MacroMonday or share your story with us at Techeconomy.

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Tags: Bettingdigital gamblingdigitalisationfintech and bettingGamblingMacro MondayNigeria economyNigeria’s Gambling Surgesports bettingYouth Unemployment
Joan Aimuengheuwa

Joan Aimuengheuwa

Joan thrives at helping individuals and businesses scale via storytelling...

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