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Home ยป Nigeria Must Prepare for the Rise of Autonomous Cyber Threats

Nigeria Must Prepare for the Rise of Autonomous Cyber Threats

| by Oluwole Asalu, the founder and CEO of Quomodo Systems Africa

Techeconomy by Techeconomy
May 27, 2025
in Security
0
Autonomous Cyber threats | Nigeria - Transparent Transformation, Bridging digital divide, Nigerian Businesses and cybersecurity by Oluwole Asalu
Oluwole Asalu

Oluwole Asalu

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The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence has reached a new inflection point. Once celebrated merely for automating workflows and powering recommendation engines, AI has now morphed into something much more dynamic and potentially disruptive: autonomous agents.

These AI agents, capable of planning, reasoning, and executing complex multi-step tasks, represent a quantum leap in capability.

However, while their commercial applications in productivity and enterprise operations are promising, an emerging and alarming reality is beginning to crystallise. These same agents could soon become the preferred tools of cybercriminals.

An Emerging Threat

Recent global research has revealed the stark trajectory of this threat. AI agents are already being trained to hijack systems, steal data, and evade detection, often with a speed and precision that far exceeds human capacity.

While widespread deployment by threat actors is not yet confirmed, early incidents, including tests run by researchers at Anthropic and honeypots built by Palisade Research, show that the foundational capabilities for agent-led cyberattacks already exist. As we learned from the broader cybersecurity landscape, it is not a question of if, but when.

For Nigeria, this warning must not be taken lightly. As our digital economy continues to expand and more businesses, government institutions, and SMEs move operations online, the attack surface broadens.

With our youthful population rapidly adopting digital tools and local innovation attracting global attention, Nigeria is inadvertently becoming a more attractive target for sophisticated cyber exploits.

In this evolving landscape, AI-driven threats could become our Achillesโ€™ heel if we fail to act swiftly and strategically.

What makes AI agents particularly dangerous is their scalability. AI agents can act independently unlike traditional cyber threats that rely on human hackers executing scripts.

They can identify targets, adapt their methods based on defences encountered, and replicate successful attacks at scale, all without fatigue, emotion, or delay.

For malicious actors, they are cheaper, faster, and more efficient than human operatives. Ransomware attacks, phishing campaigns, and data breaches can be launched with unprecedented frequency and success rates.

For Nigerian businesses and government agencies, this represents a dual challenge. On the one hand, there is the need to maintain and strengthen conventional cybersecurity protocols such as firewalls, intrusion detection systems, and regular audits. On the other hand, a new layer of defence must be built to anticipate and combat AI-led intrusions.

It is no longer enough to patch known vulnerabilities. We must now prepare to identify and respond to intelligent adversaries capable of evolving in real time.

Quomodo Systems Africa has long championed proactive digital resilience. Our philosophy is that cybersecurity should not be reactive.

The rise of AI agents underscores this belief. We are currently investing in next-generation threat intelligence capabilities, integrating AI into our own systems not just to detect threats, but to predict them.

Our mission is clear: to ensure that the same technology powering the future of business does not become its undoing.

National Strategy Needed

Encouragingly, research institutions abroad are showing the way. Palisade Researchโ€™s LLM Agent Honeypot project, which has already detected experimental AI agents probing for vulnerabilities, is a strong example of how we must engage the enemy on its own terms.

We must replicate such innovations here in Nigeria.

There is a compelling opportunity for our universities, cybersecurity firms, and government agencies to co-invest in AI-centred cyber defence infrastructure, much like we co-developed solutions during the rise of e-commerce fraud years ago.

Moreover, we must begin to use AI agents defensively. One of the most overlooked findings from global research is that if a well-trained AI agent cannot exploit a system, it is unlikely that any other similar agent can.

This is where our R&D efforts should be concentrated, building AI-based penetration testing tools that mimic hostile agents to expose weaknesses before bad actors do.

Equally important is cultivating awareness. We need a shift in mindset among Nigerian CEOs, CIOs, and IT managers.

Many still view AI as a business efficiency tool, not a security risk. But the threats posed by agentic AI demand boardroom attention.

It is time to move cybersecurity from the basement to the boardroom. Annual risk audits must now include AI threat preparedness. Staff must be trained to detect the behavioural patterns of AI-led breaches.

Regulatory agencies must revise compliance frameworks to accommodate this new category of risk.

At a national level, this moment calls for a renewed cybersecurity doctrine. We must embed agentic AI considerations into the upcoming revisions of Nigeriaโ€™s National Cybersecurity Policy.

Investment in domestic AI research must be scaled up, not only for innovation but also for protection. And we must expand international cooperation, particularly with countries already developing early-warning systems against AI-led threats.

There is also an urgent need to establish national benchmarks for AI vulnerability testing. As seen in the United States, where AI agents were able to exploit up to 25 percent of unpatched vulnerabilities after being given a simple description, structured evaluation protocols can help us assess the readiness of critical systems. Nigeria cannot afford to be caught off guard.

To be clear, AI is not the enemy. It is a tool, and like all tools, it depends on how it is used. But to ignore the rise of autonomous threats is to invite a future in which our digital growth is sabotaged from within. Nigeria has the opportunity to not only defend itself but to lead the continent in AI-informed cybersecurity strategies.

Quomodo Systems Africa is committed to this cause. We will continue to build solutions that detect, defend, and ultimately outsmart the threats of tomorrow. The digital economy is our collective future. It deserves nothing less than our fullest protection.

*Oluwole Asalu is the Founder and CEO of Quomodo Systems Africa, a thought leader dedicated to advancing Nigeriaโ€™s ICT ecosystem and fostering innovation across the continent.

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