Turning Climate Challenges into Opportunities: How Startups, Government and Donors Can Build Resilience in Nigeria

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With heavy rainfall and wide‐ranging flood alerts hitting Nigeria in 2025, we stand at a very sensitive moment, where startups engaged in agtech, climate-tech and disaster-warning have a genuine chance to make an impact when it comes to climate resilience.

But they cannot act in isolation. Government, donors and the private sector need to move as one if resilience is to take root in Nigeria.

In late May 2025, flooding in Mokwa in Niger State killed at least 117 people and left several still missing. Earlier, heavy rains destroyed homes and claimed at least 21 lives in north-central Nigeria. 

On August 6, the federal government issued flood alerts for 19 states, warning of further extreme rainfall between August 5-9. 

These events show a pattern of high climate risk: poor drainage, urbanisation, infrastructure vulnerability and changing rainfall patterns all combine to raise the stakes for agriculture, food security and human lives.

Why this is important – the drivers

• Scale of the hazard. Floods are not occasional. The Mokwa event was one of the deadliest in recent years. Lives and livelihoods are being wiped out.
• Underlying drivers. Rapid urban growth, informal settlements without drainage, old dams or reservoir‐releases (the latter implicated in past flood alerts) and infrastructure that wasn’t built with climate resilience in mind. 
• Financial gap. According to the latest report by Climate Policy Initiative, Nigeria mobilised about $2.5 billion in climate finance in 2021/22, up from $1.9 billion in 2019/20, but the annual gap (the amount needed vs the amount mobilised) is around $27.2 billion. 
• Data & systems weakness. There are limited hydrological sensors, weak last-mile alerting, and procurement systems that favour large infrastructure over agile tech-solutions.

What startups can build (and why)

Here are four areas of opportunity where startups can move from idea to impact.

1. AgTech for small-holder resilience

Startups can deliver climate-smart advisory (micro‐weather + seasonal forecasts), flood/drought-tolerant seed systems, bundled micro-insurance linked to weather triggers, and credit for replanting after floods. 

The reason: agriculture is highly exposed; floods destroy farmland and disrupt planting cycles. A viable business model could be subscription advisory plus revenue share on inputs and insurance commissions.

2. Urban resilience & data-driven infrastructure

A startup might build flood-risk mapping using satellite & local sensors, dashboards for municipalities or utilities, plus partnering with local contractors for nature-based drainage solutions. 

Drainage failures, particularly in fast-growing urban zones, magnify losses. Monetisation may come via B2G contracts (municipalities), and SaaS for decision-makers.

3. Disaster early-warning & last-mile alerting

Existing forecast agencies (e.g., the Nigeria Meteorological Agency and Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency) generate data. The gap is last-mile: reaching communities with actionable alerts, setting up evacuation triggers, and automating cash transfers tied to events. 

Startups can provide alert platforms, community-volunteer networks, and cash-trigger logic. Revenue comes from contracts with federal/state agencies or donors financing early‐warning programmes.

4. Data & risk-finance platforms

Startups can build APIs that feed river/dam sensor data, flood-indexes for insurers, and platforms that match resilience projects with blended finance. 

This matters because insurers, lenders and investors require data and pipelines to underwrite risk and invest in adaptation. Business models: licensing data/APIs, performance-based contracts, or match-making fees.

Real barriers—for clarity

I don’t want to sugar-coat it. To succeed, startups must navigate tough obstacles:

• Demand and payment risk. Many users (farmers, low-income communities) either cannot pay or are unwilling; commercial viability is weak without subsidy or public procurement.
• Procurement friction. Governments usually prefer big infrastructure contracts; small pilots are easier but scaling is slow.
• Finance constraints. As CPI found: “affordability of finance” and “limited supply of bankable projects” are major limitations. 
• Data gaps & interoperability. Without local sensors, standardised APIs or institutionalised data-sharing, solutions remain brittle.
• Policy/regulation lag. If legal frameworks, open data mandates and procurement reforms don’t keep pace, startups are left in limbo.

Government role – what must happen

If I were advising a government, I’d urge these five actions:

1. Commit to rapid procurement windows: allocate dedicated budgets for resilience tech (not just studies) so startups can contract and scale.
2. Mandate open data/ APIs from agencies like NiMet and NIHSA; make hydrological & meteorological data accessible.
3. Establish blended-finance/guarantee facilities that de-risk private investment in resilience (so startups can raise funding).
4. Embed impact-based early-warning systems in national disaster-risk management plans; authorise automatic triggers (e.g., cash transfers, evacuation alerts) when thresholds are exceeded.
5. Support local capacity at state and municipal level: invest in drainage, sensors, maintenance funds and community-volunteer networks.

Donors & development finance – their move

Donors and multilateral funds should focus on enabling, not just funding studies:

• Provide first-loss and outcome-based grants to make resilience commercially viable for startups.
• Fund data infrastructure: sensors, river gauges, ground monitoring networks and software platforms.
• Support risk transfer mechanisms, e.g., parametric insurance tied to flood/crop loss, accessible for rural farmers.
• Act as procurement catalysts: fund multi-year contracts that governments can absorb, reducing risk for startups.

Quick wins in next 12 months

• Launch a low-cost river-gage + SMS alert pilot across 1-2 high-risk LGAs identified by federal alerts.
• Bundle climate-smart advisory + micro-credit + parametric insurance for crop planting next season.
• Co-develop with NiMet a verified API feed for flood forecasts and package it commercially to insurers.

Medium to long-term (1-5 years)

• Build integrated river-basin monitoring (NIHSA + regional partners) and link to automated insurance triggers.
• Expand urban-resilience programmes: retrofit drainage, deploy nature-based solutions, create maintenance markets.
• Develop national procurement frameworks & climate-resilient infrastructure codes so tech innovation is institutionalised.

KPIs worth tracking

Choose measurable indicators:

• Time from warning to evacuation (hours) in pilot areas.
• Number of smallholders covered by parametric protection.
• % reduction in crop loss in project pilot zones year-on-year.
• Time from pilot to procurement contract for a resilience startup (months).
• Amount of blended finance mobilised (USD) for resilience.
• Number of municipalities using startup-delivered dashboards.

Risks & ethical issues

• Beware of “tech-solutionism”: technology alone won’t solve structural issues. Community involvement matters.
• Data privacy: especially for farm, household or geospatial data. Ensure consent and benefit sharing.
• Elite capture: resilience programmes must reach marginalised groups, not just well-connected players.

I believe we have a real opportunity in Nigeria. Startups are prepared to build the tools; the urgency is undeniable. But without policy clarity, finance reform and institutional buy-in, innovation will stall in pilots. 

If the next 12 months see coordinated action among startups + government + donors, we’ll move from reactive relief to proactive resilience.